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601996.SS$2.66-1.48%
Fair $2.66+0.0%

601996.SS

Guangxi Fenglin Wood Industry Group Co.,Ltd

Basic Materials / Lumber & Wood ProductionShanghai

$2.66

-0.04 (-1.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.66Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $293.8M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -5.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 601996.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Guangxi Fenglin Wood Industry Group Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

55.2x

↑

ROE

-5.2%

↓

Gross Margin

1.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$3
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

601996.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.660Periodo -19.6%
Fair value: $2.660

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

17.3%

FCF / Net income

-2.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.70B · net income $-128.5M · FCF $293.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

1.2%-6.9% pts

Operating margin

-5.0%-8.1% pts

Net margin

-7.6%-9.8% pts

FCF margin

17.3%+18.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.70B$1.70B$2.02B$2.34B$2.05B
Net Income$-128.5M$-128.5M$-120.0M$52.3M$45.4M
EBITDA$51.0M$51.0M$63.6M$250.2M$199.5M
EPS-0.11-0.11-0.110.050.04
Gross Margin1.2%1.2%2.1%7.6%8.0%
Operating Margin-5.0%-5.0%-3.1%3.3%3.1%
Net Margin-7.6%-7.6%-5.9%2.2%2.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.280.110.29
Current Ratio2.142.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$293.8M$293.8M$-231.9M$338.5M$-27.1M
Returns
ROE-5.2%-5.2%-4.6%1.8%1.6%
Valuation
P/E———56.4068.00
EV/EBITDA55.1655.1634.1410.2115.38
P/B1.251.250.841.031.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-16.0%-16.0%-13.7%14.0%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%-320.0%25.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.0%

Total return

+22.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.11 → -0.11

Residual

+22.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+22.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.