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603086.SS$6.23-2.04%
Fair $6.23+0.0%

603086.SS

Shandong Cynda Chemical Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsShanghai

$6.23

-0.13 (-2.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.23Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-232.2M · quality 59.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 603086.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Cynda Chemical Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.7B

P/E

20.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.8x

↓

ROE

6.5%

↑

Gross Margin

22.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.39

↑
52-Week Range$6
$6$12

TradingView lightweight chart

603086.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.230Periodo +31.9%
Fair value: $6.230

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-13.0%

FCF / Net income

-2.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.36B · net income $136.7M · FCF $-307.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.6%-4.6% pts

Operating margin

8.2%-5.8% pts

Net margin

5.8%-6.4% pts

FCF margin

-13.0%-15.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.36B$2.36B$2.42B$2.46B$3.13B
Net Income$136.7M$136.7M$-25.9M$-104.1M$381.2M
EBITDA$418.8M$418.8M$172.7M$43.6M$529.7M
EPS0.310.31-0.06-0.240.88
Gross Margin22.6%22.6%12.2%11.6%27.2%
Operating Margin8.2%8.2%-1.5%-4.6%13.9%
Net Margin5.8%5.8%-1.1%-4.2%12.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.390.390.220.150.04
Current Ratio1.341.34———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-307.8M$-307.8M$-232.2M$-192.6M$66.6M
Returns
ROE6.5%6.5%-1.3%-5.2%17.5%
Valuation
P/E20.1020.10——11.03
EV/EBITDA6.816.818.7050.366.63
P/B1.311.310.891.271.93
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.4%-2.4%-1.7%-21.3%—
EPS Growth616.7%616.7%75.0%-127.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

21.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.55

Spread vs growth

595.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.67

Spread vs growth

600.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.08

Spread vs growth

603.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.4%

Total return

-29.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.06 → 0.31

Residual

-29.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-29.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.