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603125.SS$23.86-1.53%
Fair $23.86+0.0%

603125.SS

Jiangsu Evergreen New Material Technology Incorporated Company

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShanghai

$23.86

-0.37 (-1.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $23.86Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 3/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-113.4M · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 603125.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangsu Evergreen New Material Technology Incorporated Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.7B

P/E

47.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

36.6x

↑

ROE

6.5%

↑

Gross Margin

27.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$24
$14$29

TradingView lightweight chart

603125.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $23.86Periodo +12.5%
Fair value: $23.86

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-17.8%

FCF / Net income

-1.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.04B · net income $158.1M · FCF $-183.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.1%-3.6% pts

Operating margin

16.8%-5.6% pts

Net margin

15.3%-4.5% pts

FCF margin

-17.8%-28.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.04B$1.04B$1.08B$1.02B$963.6M
Net Income$158.1M$158.1M$204.2M$212.6M$190.7M
EBITDA$236.2M$236.2M$263.7M$273.0M$242.5M
EPS0.390.390.500.570.63
Gross Margin27.1%27.1%29.4%31.7%30.7%
Operating Margin16.8%16.8%19.6%22.0%22.4%
Net Margin15.3%15.3%18.9%20.9%19.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.02
Current Ratio12.7512.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-183.9M$-183.9M$-113.4M$98.1M$103.8M
Returns
ROE6.5%6.5%8.8%9.8%22.8%
Valuation
P/E47.7247.7224.9724.29—
EV/EBITDA36.6336.6314.9316.27—
P/B3.953.952.192.38—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.1%-4.1%6.0%5.7%—
EPS Growth-22.0%-22.0%-12.7%-8.8%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

75.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.12

Spread vs growth

-97.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

45.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.56

Spread vs growth

-67.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.13

Spread vs growth

-48.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +57.3%

Total return

+57.3%

Start / end P/E

30.4x → 61.2x

EPS bridge

0.50 → 0.39

Residual

-22.3%

EPS growth-22.0%
Multiple rerating+101.4%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-22.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.