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603126.SS$7.59-2.57%
Fair $7.59+0.0%

603126.SS

Sinoma Energy Conservation Ltd.

Utilities / Utilities - RenewableShanghai

$7.59

-0.20 (-2.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.59Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-173.1M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603126.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Sinoma Energy Conservation Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.6B

P/E

151.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

28.3x

↑

ROE

0.7%

↓

Gross Margin

12.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.48

↓
52-Week Range$8
$6$10

TradingView lightweight chart

603126.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.590Periodo -15.0%
Fair value: $7.590

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.9%

FCF / Net income

-18.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.73B · net income $13.7M · FCF $-256.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.5%-6.6% pts

Operating margin

1.8%-4.8% pts

Net margin

0.4%-4.5% pts

FCF margin

-6.9%-4.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.73B$3.73B$2.32B$3.07B$3.22B
Net Income$13.7M$13.7M$7.6M$143.4M$156.9M
EBITDA$151.9M$151.9M$119.8M$299.0M$318.0M
EPS0.020.020.010.230.26
Gross Margin12.5%12.5%15.1%20.1%19.1%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%-0.1%7.6%6.6%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%0.3%4.7%4.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.480.480.240.200.14
Current Ratio1.381.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-256.7M$-256.7M$-173.1M$88.2M$-77.6M
Returns
ROE0.7%0.7%0.4%6.8%7.7%
Valuation
P/E151.80151.80636.0028.9927.64
EV/EBITDA28.3328.3335.7411.1311.27
P/B2.262.262.371.972.13
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth60.4%60.4%-24.2%-4.7%—
EPS Growth80.0%80.0%-94.7%-8.6%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

210.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.67

Spread vs growth

-130.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

105.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.81

Spread vs growth

-25.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

50.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.31

Spread vs growth

29.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.3%

Total return

+20.3%

Start / end P/E

504.8x → 337.3x

EPS bridge

0.01 → 0.02

Residual

-26.5%

EPS growth+80.0%
Multiple rerating-33.2%
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-26.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.