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603616.SS$6.03-1.47%
Fair $6.03+0.0%

603616.SS

Beijing Hanjian Heshan Pipeline Co.,Ltd

Basic Materials / SteelShanghai

$6.03

-0.09 (-1.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.03Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-3.4M · quality 35.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -4.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603616.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Beijing Hanjian Heshan Pipeline Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

42.5x

↑

ROE

-4.5%

↓

Gross Margin

17.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.04

↑
52-Week Range$6
$4$9

TradingView lightweight chart

603616.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.030Periodo -26.2%
Fair value: $6.030

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.1%

FCF / Net income

1.84x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $884.4M · net income $-10.1M · FCF $-18.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.8%+9.9% pts

Operating margin

1.8%+21.6% pts

Net margin

-1.1%+62.7% pts

FCF margin

-2.1%-10.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$884.4M$884.4M$786.7M$532.8M$557.3M
Net Income$-10.1M$-10.1M$-231.2M$-308.5M$-355.6M
EBITDA$56.5M$56.5M$-129.9M$-279.1M$-318.2M
EPS-0.03-0.03-0.61-0.81-0.93
Gross Margin17.8%17.8%13.6%11.4%7.8%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%-4.5%-16.4%-19.7%
Net Margin-1.1%-1.1%-29.4%-57.9%-63.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.041.041.320.450.37
Current Ratio0.880.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-18.6M$-18.6M$11.9M$-3.4M$45.3M
Returns
ROE-4.5%-4.5%-99.7%-67.8%-47.0%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA42.5242.52———
P/B10.3010.305.364.672.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.4%12.4%47.7%-4.4%—
EPS Growth95.6%95.6%25.1%13.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +54.2%

Total return

+54.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.61 → -0.03

Residual

+54.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+54.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.