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603639.SS$11.38+3.08%
Fair $11.38+0.0%

603639.SS

Hailir Pesticides and Chemicals Group Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsShanghai

$11.38

+0.34 (+3.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.38Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $206.6M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 603639.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hailir Pesticides and Chemicals Group Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

26.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.2x

↓

ROE

5.3%

↑

Gross Margin

25.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.29

↑
52-Week Range$11
$11$16

TradingView lightweight chart

603639.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.38Periodo -21.0%
Fair value: $11.38

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.5%

FCF CAGR

+33.6%

FCF margin

4.9%

FCF / Net income

1.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.20B · net income $182.0M · FCF $206.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.0%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

6.5%-4.0% pts

Net margin

4.3%-5.8% pts

FCF margin

4.9%+3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.20B$4.20B$3.91B$4.40B$4.53B
Net Income$182.0M$182.0M$181.4M$473.2M$460.0M
EBITDA$523.4M$523.4M$502.3M$818.5M$612.1M
EPS0.530.530.531.391.35
Gross Margin25.0%25.0%23.9%31.0%26.4%
Operating Margin6.5%6.5%7.6%15.9%10.5%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%4.6%10.8%10.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.290.290.350.270.22
Current Ratio1.191.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$206.6M$206.6M$-49.9M$499.2M$86.6M
Returns
ROE5.3%5.3%5.3%14.0%14.3%
Valuation
P/E26.4726.4723.1511.3919.61
EV/EBITDA7.227.228.096.5114.68
P/B1.141.141.231.592.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.6%7.6%-11.2%-3.0%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%-61.9%3.0%—
Dividend Yield4.4%4.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.01

Spread vs growth

-24.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.22

Spread vs growth

-18.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.97

Spread vs growth

-14.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.3%

Total return

-11.3%

Start / end P/E

25.5x → 21.5x

EPS bridge

0.53 → 0.53

Residual

-0.0%

EPS growth+0.0%
Multiple rerating-15.6%
Dividend+4.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.