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603687.SS$17.89+4.16%
Fair $17.89+0.0%

603687.SS

Zhejiang Great Shengda Packaging Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsShanghai

$17.89

+0.65 (+4.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.89Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $23.0M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603687.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Zhejiang Great Shengda Packaging Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.8B

P/E

137.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

29.5x

↑

ROE

2.4%

↑

Gross Margin

19.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$18
$7$21

TradingView lightweight chart

603687.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.26Periodo +53.7%
Fair value: $17.89

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.3%

FCF CAGR

+133.9%

FCF margin

9.9%

FCF / Net income

2.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.20B · net income $77.1M · FCF $217.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.4%+3.5% pts

Operating margin

9.0%+2.1% pts

Net margin

3.5%-1.6% pts

FCF margin

9.9%+9.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.20B$2.20B$2.13B$2.01B$2.06B
Net Income$77.1M$77.1M$106.3M$88.5M$105.3M
EBITDA$301.0M$301.0M$297.1M$299.7M$282.9M
EPS0.140.140.190.200.25
Gross Margin19.4%19.4%18.0%16.9%16.0%
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%9.0%7.3%6.9%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%5.0%4.4%5.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.040.26
Current Ratio2.682.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$217.9M$217.9M$20.1M$23.0M$17.0M
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%3.3%2.7%5.2%
Valuation
P/E137.62137.6236.2158.3035.32
EV/EBITDA29.5129.519.4012.4112.06
P/B3.033.031.181.591.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%5.8%-2.2%—
EPS Growth-26.3%-26.3%-5.0%-20.0%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

124.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.59

Spread vs growth

-151.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

68.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.92

Spread vs growth

-95.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

36.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.09

Spread vs growth

-62.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +126.5%

Total return

+126.5%

Start / end P/E

37.8x → 116.1x

EPS bridge

0.19 → 0.14

Residual

-54.5%

EPS growth-26.3%
Multiple rerating+206.9%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-54.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.