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603798.SS$15.71-2.72%
Fair $15.71+0.0%

603798.SS

Qingdao Copton Technology Company Limited

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShanghai

$15.71

-0.44 (-2.72%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.71Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $142.8M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 4.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603798.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Qingdao Copton Technology Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

92.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

38.4x

↑

ROE

4.3%

↑

Gross Margin

20.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$16
$10$20

TradingView lightweight chart

603798.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.71Periodo +97.9%
Fair value: $15.71

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

15.0%

FCF / Net income

2.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $951.2M · net income $51.0M · FCF $142.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.0%-2.5% pts

Operating margin

5.9%+1.5% pts

Net margin

5.4%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

15.0%+19.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$951.2M$951.2M$1.07B$1.20B$791.6M
Net Income$51.0M$51.0M$54.6M$47.8M$39.6M
EBITDA$96.0M$96.0M$112.4M$92.5M$75.0M
EPS0.200.200.210.190.15
Gross Margin20.0%20.0%18.0%18.4%22.5%
Operating Margin5.9%5.9%6.1%4.5%4.4%
Net Margin5.4%5.4%5.1%4.0%5.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.040.010.01
Current Ratio4.884.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$142.8M$142.8M$144.7M$32.7M$-38.4M
Returns
ROE4.3%4.3%4.8%4.2%3.6%
Valuation
P/E92.4192.4142.1452.7456.87
EV/EBITDA38.3738.3717.7425.0225.92
P/B3.353.352.032.242.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.8%-10.8%-11.0%51.5%—
EPS Growth-4.8%-4.8%10.5%26.7%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

91.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.39

Spread vs growth

-95.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

53.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.69

Spread vs growth

-57.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

29.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.72

Spread vs growth

-34.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +56.3%

Total return

+56.3%

Start / end P/E

48.2x → 78.6x

EPS bridge

0.21 → 0.20

Residual

-3.0%

EPS growth-4.8%
Multiple rerating+63.0%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.