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605007.SS$14.24+0.56%
Fair $14.24+0.0%

605007.SS

Wuzhou Special Paper Group Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsShanghai

$14.24

+0.08 (+0.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.24Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.9B · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 605007.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Wuzhou Special Paper Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.8B

P/E

24.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.3x

↑

ROE

6.7%

↑

Gross Margin

7.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.92

↑
52-Week Range$14
$11$18

TradingView lightweight chart

605007.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.24Periodo -2.0%
Fair value: $14.24

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-21.4%

FCF / Net income

-7.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.88B · net income $244.7M · FCF $-1.90B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.9%-0.9% pts

Operating margin

5.4%-0.7% pts

Net margin

2.8%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

-21.4%-5.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.88B$8.88B$7.66B$6.52B$5.96B
Net Income$244.7M$244.7M$361.8M$271.7M$205.2M
EBITDA$885.4M$885.4M$863.5M$599.8M$547.8M
EPS0.510.510.860.670.51
Gross Margin7.9%7.9%9.9%9.6%8.8%
Operating Margin5.4%5.4%7.5%6.6%6.1%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%4.7%4.2%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.921.921.611.451.41
Current Ratio0.560.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.90B$-1.90B$-2.16B$-514.0M$-952.9M
Returns
ROE6.7%6.7%10.2%11.2%9.3%
Valuation
P/E24.5524.5514.2021.5237.24
EV/EBITDA15.2715.2711.0114.6718.21
P/B1.871.871.452.413.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.1%16.1%17.4%9.3%—
EPS Growth-40.7%-40.7%28.4%31.4%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

35.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.26

Spread vs growth

-76.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.53

Spread vs growth

-65.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.46

Spread vs growth

-57.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.9%

Total return

+23.9%

Start / end P/E

13.5x → 27.9x

EPS bridge

0.86 → 0.51

Residual

-43.5%

EPS growth-40.7%
Multiple rerating+107.0%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-43.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.