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605122.SS$13.09-2.53%
Fair $13.09+0.0%

605122.SS

Chongqing Sifang New Material Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsShanghai

$13.09

-0.34 (-2.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.09Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 19/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-9.3M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

19/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -18.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 605122.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Chongqing Sifang New Material Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-18.0%

↓

Gross Margin

4.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.25

↑
52-Week Range$13
$11$19

TradingView lightweight chart

605122.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.09Periodo -67.8%
Fair value: $13.09

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-14.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

19.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.64x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.03B · net income $-311.2M · FCF $200.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

4.1%-9.8% pts

Operating margin

-5.5%-13.1% pts

Net margin

-30.1%-24.2% pts

FCF margin

19.4%+36.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.03B$1.03B$1.41B$1.99B$1.65B
Net Income$-311.2M$-311.2M$-164.1M$13.0M$-97.5M
EBITDA$-130.0M$-130.0M$-7.7M$199.2M$28.2M
EPS-1.81-1.81-0.950.08-0.57
Gross Margin4.1%4.1%13.6%13.8%13.9%
Operating Margin-5.5%-5.5%5.3%6.9%7.6%
Net Margin-30.1%-30.1%-11.6%0.7%-5.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.250.250.380.420.42
Current Ratio1.831.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$200.4M$200.4M$-9.3M$-57.9M$-282.4M
Returns
ROE-18.0%-18.0%-8.0%0.6%-4.4%
Valuation
P/E———204.63—
EV/EBITDA———15.82105.06
P/B1.301.300.831.201.16
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-26.8%-26.8%-28.9%20.2%—
EPS Growth-90.5%-90.5%-1287.5%114.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.9%

Total return

+13.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.95 → -1.81

Residual

+13.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+13.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.