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688269.SS$36.28-2.71%
Fair $36.28+0.0%

688269.SS

Kaili Catalyst & New Materials Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsShanghai

$36.28

-1.01 (-2.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $36.28Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-99.1M · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 688269.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Kaili Catalyst & New Materials Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.7B

P/E

35.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

30.9x

↑

ROE

10.3%

↑

Gross Margin

12.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.61

↑
52-Week Range$36
$31$54

TradingView lightweight chart

688269.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $36.28Periodo -36.2%
Fair value: $36.28

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.03B · net income $109.1M · FCF $-99.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.0%-6.0% pts

Operating margin

7.5%-5.7% pts

Net margin

5.4%-6.4% pts

FCF margin

-4.9%-0.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.03B$2.03B$1.69B$1.79B$1.88B
Net Income$109.1M$109.1M$92.6M$112.9M$221.1M
EBITDA$168.1M$168.1M$135.0M$139.7M$259.8M
EPS0.830.830.710.861.69
Gross Margin12.0%12.0%11.2%12.0%18.0%
Operating Margin7.5%7.5%6.6%7.3%13.2%
Net Margin5.4%5.4%5.5%6.3%11.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.610.610.580.300.30
Current Ratio1.241.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-99.1M$-99.1M$-236.6M$-58.6M$-87.4M
Returns
ROE10.3%10.3%9.1%11.4%22.8%
Valuation
P/E35.2235.2233.6540.1249.75
EV/EBITDA30.9230.9225.2232.2641.68
P/B4.524.523.074.5811.34
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.4%20.4%-5.5%-5.1%—
EPS Growth16.9%16.9%-17.4%-49.1%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

57.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.22

Spread vs growth

-40.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

36.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.90

Spread vs growth

-19.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.27

Spread vs growth

-5.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.8%

Total return

+16.8%

Start / end P/E

44.2x → 43.7x

EPS bridge

0.71 → 0.83

Residual

-0.2%

EPS growth+16.9%
Multiple rerating-1.2%
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.