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688359.SS$129.12-3.63%
Fair $129.12+0.0%

688359.SS

Guangzhou Sanfu New Materials Technology Co.,Ltd

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShanghai

$129.12

-4.87 (-3.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $129.12Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-76.4M · quality 58.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -8.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688359.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Guangzhou Sanfu New Materials Technology Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-8.2%

↓

Gross Margin

36.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.56

↑
52-Week Range$129
$46$146

TradingView lightweight chart

688359.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $129.12Periodo +231.1%
Fair value: $129.12

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $457.9M · net income $-48.3M · FCF $19.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.2%+6.3% pts

Operating margin

-8.0%+2.8% pts

Net margin

-10.6%-1.7% pts

FCF margin

4.3%+17.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$457.9M$457.9M$621.3M$497.4M$364.6M
Net Income$-48.3M$-48.3M$-12.6M$-36.8M$-32.2M
EBITDA$-26.7M$-26.7M$53.9M$-6.2M$-38.7M
EPS-0.50-0.50-0.14-0.40-0.35
Gross Margin36.2%36.2%38.3%32.2%29.9%
Operating Margin-8.0%-8.0%0.7%-5.9%-10.8%
Net Margin-10.6%-10.6%-2.0%-7.4%-8.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.560.560.790.690.22
Current Ratio1.501.50———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$19.8M$19.8M$-76.4M$-97.6M$-48.0M
Returns
ROE-8.2%-8.2%-2.5%-7.6%-6.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——69.08——
P/B21.1521.156.6312.5513.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-26.3%-26.3%24.9%36.4%—
EPS Growth-257.1%-257.1%65.0%-14.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +139.6%

Total return

+139.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.14 → -0.50

Residual

+139.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+139.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.