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688466.SS$16.35-2.45%
Fair $16.35+0.0%

688466.SS

GreenTech Environmental Co., Ltd.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated WaterShanghai

$16.35

-0.41 (-2.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.35Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-164.2M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 3/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688466.SSLocal privado en este navegador · GreenTech Environmental Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

68.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

20.4x

↑

ROE

3.3%

↓

Gross Margin

33.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.38

↓
52-Week Range$16
$16$27

TradingView lightweight chart

688466.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.35Periodo -62.5%
Fair value: $16.35

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.8%

FCF / Net income

0.95x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $523.4M · net income $37.8M · FCF $35.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.4%-0.7% pts

Operating margin

12.6%-4.4% pts

Net margin

7.2%-4.2% pts

FCF margin

6.8%+7.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$523.4M$523.4M$617.1M$572.8M$670.9M
Net Income$37.8M$37.8M$66.8M$70.8M$76.8M
EBITDA$101.8M$101.8M$131.2M$127.9M$128.3M
EPS0.310.310.550.580.75
Gross Margin33.4%33.4%36.2%38.9%34.1%
Operating Margin12.6%12.6%16.5%19.2%17.1%
Net Margin7.2%7.2%10.8%12.4%11.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.380.380.410.280.11
Current Ratio2.152.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$35.8M$35.8M$-164.2M$-165.8M$-7.0M
Returns
ROE3.3%3.3%6.0%6.2%7.1%
Valuation
P/E68.1368.1324.0931.3417.48
EV/EBITDA20.4520.4512.6215.937.75
P/B1.731.731.441.941.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.2%-15.2%7.7%-14.6%—
EPS Growth-43.6%-43.6%-5.2%-22.7%—
Dividend Yield4.5%4.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

67.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.45

Spread vs growth

-110.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

41.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.76

Spread vs growth

-85.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

24.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.83

Spread vs growth

-68.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.5%

Total return

-1.5%

Start / end P/E

31.6x → 52.7x

EPS bridge

0.55 → 0.31

Residual

-29.2%

EPS growth-43.6%
Multiple rerating+66.9%
Dividend+4.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-29.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.