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7456.T$6390.00+0.16%
Fair $6390.00+0.0%

7456.T

MATSUDA SANGYO Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Other Precious Metals & MiningTokyo

$6390.00

+10.00 (+0.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6390.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.5B · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 7456.TLocal privado en este navegador · MATSUDA SANGYO Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$165.1B

P/E

9.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

11.1x

↑

ROE

9.5%

↑

Gross Margin

7.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.34

↑
52-Week Range$6390
$3225$8860

TradingView lightweight chart

7456.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6,390Periodo +968.0%
Fair value: $6,390

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $468.84B · net income $9.46B · FCF $-1.54B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.5%-3.5% pts

Operating margin

2.7%-2.0% pts

Net margin

2.0%-1.5% pts

FCF margin

-0.3%-2.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$468.84B$468.84B$360.53B$351.03B$272.29B
Net Income$9.46B$9.46B$7.29B$9.70B$9.56B
EBITDA$16.79B$16.79B$13.23B$16.48B$16.02B
EPS——280.20371.70366.40
Gross Margin7.5%7.5%8.3%9.5%11.0%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%2.6%3.9%4.7%
Net Margin2.0%2.0%2.0%2.8%3.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.320.230.22
Current Ratio2.032.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.54B$-1.54B$-5.94B$-1.13B$4.54B
Returns
ROE9.5%9.5%8.0%11.5%12.9%
Valuation
P/E9.879.879.295.896.39
EV/EBITDA11.0911.096.243.924.13
P/B1.661.660.740.680.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth30.0%30.0%2.7%28.9%—
EPS Growth——-24.6%1.4%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +95.1%

Total return

+95.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

280.20 → n/d

Residual

+93.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+93.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.