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7768.TWO$439.00-2.28%
Fair $439.00+0.0%

7768.TWO

7768.TWO

Basic Materials / ChemicalsTaipei Exchange

$439.00

-9.00 (-2.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $439.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $174.0M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 7768.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · 7768.TWO
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$30.8B

P/E

149.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

64.7x

↑

ROE

10.7%

↑

Gross Margin

50.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.81

↑
52-Week Range$439
$134$494

TradingView lightweight chart

7768.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $385.00Periodo +134.8%
Fair value: $439.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-30.2%

FCF / Net income

-3.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.98B · net income $191.2M · FCF $-598.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

50.9%+8.2% pts

Operating margin

15.9%+1.4% pts

Net margin

9.7%+7.1% pts

FCF margin

-30.2%-43.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.98B$1.98B$1.92B$1.64B$1.83B
Net Income$191.2M$191.2M$229.6M$47.0M$46.3M
EBITDA$415.2M$415.2M$449.7M$229.2M$409.3M
EPS——4.010.902.79
Gross Margin50.9%50.9%46.2%41.2%42.7%
Operating Margin15.9%15.9%13.1%5.6%14.5%
Net Margin9.7%9.7%12.0%2.9%2.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.810.811.031.250.84
Current Ratio1.601.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-598.2M$-598.2M$349.7M$174.0M$245.5M
Returns
ROE10.7%10.7%21.1%5.0%4.2%
Valuation
P/E149.83149.83———
EV/EBITDA64.7364.73———
P/B14.7414.74———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.1%3.1%17.2%-10.5%—
EPS Growth——345.6%-67.7%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +171.9%

Total return

+171.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

4.01 → n/d

Residual

+171.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+171.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.