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8032.T$1101.00-2.32%
Fair $1101.00+0.0%

8032.T

Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsTokyo

$1101.00

-27.00 (-2.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1101.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $16.4B · quality 45.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 8032.TLocal privado en este navegador · Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$122.7B

P/E

28.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.6x

↓

ROE

5.6%

↑

Gross Margin

16.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.84

↑
52-Week Range$1101
$589$1235

TradingView lightweight chart

8032.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,135Periodo +225.2%
Fair value: $1,101

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.6%

FCF CAGR

+20.0%

FCF margin

3.0%

FCF / Net income

2.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $554.52B · net income $7.57B · FCF $16.42B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.5%+0.2% pts

Operating margin

2.7%-0.4% pts

Net margin

1.4%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

3.0%+0.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$554.52B$554.52B$534.23B$545.28B$444.76B
Net Income$7.57B$7.57B$10.36B$25.39B$11.50B
EBITDA$26.72B$26.72B$30.87B$50.87B$30.48B
EPS61.3061.30184.73184.7383.76
Gross Margin16.5%16.5%16.4%15.8%16.3%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%3.3%3.7%3.2%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%1.9%4.7%2.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.840.840.811.011.27
Current Ratio1.191.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$16.42B$16.42B$16.63B$-8.01B$9.51B
Returns
ROE5.6%5.6%8.1%21.4%12.4%
Valuation
P/E27.9627.962.922.804.55
EV/EBITDA8.578.574.943.135.16
P/B1.011.010.520.600.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.8%3.8%-2.0%22.6%—
EPS Growth-66.8%-66.8%0.0%120.6%—
Dividend Yield3.2%3.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

16.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$97.70

Spread vs growth

-83.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$118.21

Spread vs growth

-80.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$190.38

Spread vs growth

-78.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +95.2%

Total return

+95.2%

Start / end P/E

3.2x → 18.5x

EPS bridge

184.73 → 61.30

Residual

-319.9%

EPS growth-66.8%
Multiple rerating+478.7%
Dividend+3.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-319.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.