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8138.T$3940.00+1.03%
Fair $3940.00+0.0%

8138.T

Sankyo Kasei Corporation

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$3940.00

+40.00 (+1.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3940.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $463.7M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 8138.TLocal privado en este navegador · Sankyo Kasei Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

4.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.0x

↓

ROE

7.2%

↑

Gross Margin

9.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$3940
$3245$4980

TradingView lightweight chart

8138.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,940Periodo +51.0%
Fair value: $3,940

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $27.12B · net income $629.4M · FCF $-676.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.5%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

1.7%+0.9% pts

Net margin

2.3%+2.1% pts

FCF margin

-2.5%+0.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$27.12B$27.12B$26.23B$26.74B$24.24B
Net Income$629.4M$629.4M$346.7M$303.7M$62.5M
EBITDA$1.05B$1.05B$552.5M$598.0M$394.7M
EPS497.66497.66259.88227.6346.85
Gross Margin9.5%9.5%9.4%9.0%8.8%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%1.5%1.3%0.8%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%1.3%1.1%0.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.000.020.02
Current Ratio2.032.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-676.8M$-676.8M$1.12B$463.7M$-614.9M
Returns
ROE7.2%7.2%3.4%3.3%0.7%
Valuation
P/E4.714.7112.4914.4368.20
EV/EBITDA4.034.033.405.058.15
P/B0.570.570.430.470.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%-1.9%10.3%—
EPS Growth91.5%91.5%14.2%385.9%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$349.61

Spread vs growth

102.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$423.03

Spread vs growth

94.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$681.29

Spread vs growth

88.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +21.6%

Total return

+21.6%

Start / end P/E

12.7x → 7.9x

EPS bridge

259.88 → 497.66

Residual

-34.6%

EPS growth+91.5%
Multiple rerating-37.8%
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.