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8439.HK$1.54-6.10%
Fair $1.54+0.0%

8439.HK

Somerley Capital Holdings Limited

Financial Services / Capital MarketsHKSE

$1.54

-0.10 (-6.10%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.54Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -22.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8439.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Somerley Capital Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$226M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-22.1%

↓

Gross Margin

14.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$2
$0$5

TradingView lightweight chart

8439.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.540Periodo -25.2%
Fair value: $1.540

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $51.6M · net income $-13.8M · FCF $571000.0

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.4%-30.7% pts

Operating margin

-23.9%-16.8% pts

Net margin

-26.8%-21.4% pts

FCF margin

1.1%+10.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$51.6M$51.6M$67.4M$61.0M$68.2M
Net Income$-13.8M$-13.8M$-3.5M$-6.8M$-3.6M
EBITDA$-6.2M$-6.2M$4.6M$1.4M$5.8M
EPS-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.05-0.03
Gross Margin14.4%14.4%29.0%21.4%45.0%
Operating Margin-23.9%-23.9%-6.7%-11.4%-7.1%
Net Margin-26.8%-26.8%-5.3%-11.2%-5.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.040.120.16
Current Ratio6.496.49———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$571000.00$571000.00$4.9M$-2.1M$-6.7M
Returns
ROE-22.1%-22.1%-4.5%-8.0%-3.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——9.8249.7221.58
P/B3.623.621.301.431.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.4%-23.4%10.4%-10.5%—
EPS Growth-282.5%-282.5%48.6%-87.1%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +306.6%

Total return

+306.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.02 → -0.09

Residual

+305.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+305.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.