StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
8540.HK$4.30+0.70%
Fair $4.30+0.0%

8540.HK

Victory Securities (Holdings) Company Limited

Financial Services / Capital MarketsHKSE

$4.30

+0.03 (+0.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.30Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 6/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 8540.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Victory Securities (Holdings) Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$914M

P/E

13.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

25.2%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.40

↑
52-Week Range$4
$3$12

TradingView lightweight chart

8540.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.300Periodo +230.8%
Fair value: $4.300

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+36.1%

FCF CAGR

+10.3%

FCF margin

94.7%

FCF / Net income

2.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $151.5M · net income $60.4M · FCF $143.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

39.8%+80.0% pts

FCF margin

94.7%-83.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$151.5M$151.5M$62.1M$45.1M$60.1M
Net Income$60.4M$60.4M$-3.1M$-25.0M$-24.2M
EPS——-0.02-0.13-0.13
Net Margin39.8%39.8%-5.1%-55.3%-40.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.400.400.970.590.70
Current Ratio1.641.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$143.6M$143.6M$-93.7M$41.7M$107.0M
Returns
ROE25.2%25.2%-1.8%-15.3%-12.8%
Valuation
P/E13.8713.87———
P/B3.823.823.553.531.99
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth143.9%143.9%37.6%-24.9%—
EPS Growth——87.8%-3.3%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +42.0%

Total return

+42.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.02 → n/d

Residual

+41.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+41.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.