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8585.T$845.00+0.72%
Fair $845.00+0.0%

8585.T

Orient Corporation

Financial Services / Credit ServicesTokyo

$845.00

+6.00 (+0.72%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $845.00Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 6/9
High DebtMargin Compression

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 28.0/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 8.91, above the 2.0 threshold Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 8585.TLocal privado en este navegador · Orient Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$144.7B

P/E

11.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

62.7x

↑

ROE

5.8%

↓

Gross Margin

89.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

8.91

↑
52-Week Range$845
$793$1173

TradingView lightweight chart

8585.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $845.00Periodo -69.8%
Fair value: $845.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.88x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $245.27B · net income $13.94B · FCF $-12.20B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

89.4%-5.2% pts

Operating margin

5.0%-7.6% pts

Net margin

5.7%-2.8% pts

FCF margin

-5.0%-35.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$245.27B$245.27B$229.05B$227.69B$229.80B
Net Income$13.94B$13.94B$12.57B$19.04B$19.48B
EBITDA$32.86B$32.86B$38.01B$49.62B$54.40B
EPS81.4581.4573.29110.92105.54
Gross Margin89.4%89.4%92.8%93.8%94.7%
Operating Margin5.0%5.0%7.0%10.1%12.6%
Net Margin5.7%5.7%5.5%8.4%8.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity8.918.919.957.708.49
Current Ratio1.791.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-12.20B$-12.20B$-57.13B$19.07B$69.00B
Returns
ROE5.8%5.8%5.3%8.4%9.1%
Valuation
P/E11.2311.2314.3110.0311.75
EV/EBITDA62.7162.7154.4934.6933.39
P/B0.600.600.760.840.99
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.1%7.1%0.6%-0.9%—
EPS Growth11.1%11.1%-33.9%5.1%—
Dividend Yield4.8%4.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$74.98

Spread vs growth

13.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

2.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$90.73

Spread vs growth

9.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$146.11

Spread vs growth

5.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.3%

Total return

+10.3%

Start / end P/E

10.9x → 10.4x

EPS bridge

73.29 → 81.45

Residual

-0.6%

EPS growth+11.1%
Multiple rerating-5.1%
Dividend+4.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.