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8622.T$633.00+0.48%
Fair $633.00+0.0%

8622.T

Mito Securities Co., Ltd.

Financial Services / Capital MarketsTokyo

$633.00

+3.00 (+0.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $633.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 5/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 18.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 8622.TLocal privado en este navegador · Mito Securities Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$38.1B

P/E

12.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.6x

↓

ROE

6.0%

↓

Gross Margin

99.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$633
$501$775

TradingView lightweight chart

8622.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $633.00Periodo +143.5%
Fair value: $633.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.98B · net income $2.42B · FCF $-615.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

99.6%+0.0% pts

Operating margin

13.3%+2.1% pts

Net margin

17.3%+7.2% pts

FCF margin

-4.4%+2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$13.98B$13.98B$14.55B$11.19B$13.68B
Net Income$2.42B$2.42B$2.34B$773.0M$1.39B
EBITDA$2.19B$2.19B$2.76B$179.0M$1.97B
EPS38.4738.4715.0012.01—
Gross Margin99.6%99.6%99.7%99.5%99.6%
Operating Margin13.3%13.3%16.5%-2.4%11.2%
Net Margin17.3%17.3%16.1%6.9%10.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.100.140.11
Current Ratio2.082.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-615.0M$-615.0M$6.82B$-951.0M$-990.0M
Returns
ROE6.0%6.0%5.5%2.0%3.6%
Valuation
P/E12.3412.3430.7324.56—
EV/EBITDA8.568.562.2213.04-0.77
P/B0.990.990.700.490.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.9%-3.9%30.0%-18.2%—
EPS Growth156.5%156.5%24.9%——
Dividend Yield7.9%7.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$56.17

Spread vs growth

143.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$67.96

Spread vs growth

144.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$109.46

Spread vs growth

145.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +24.3%

Total return

+24.3%

Start / end P/E

36.3x → 16.5x

EPS bridge

15.00 → 38.47

Residual

-85.5%

EPS growth+156.5%
Multiple rerating-54.6%
Dividend+7.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-85.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.