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8624.T$1269.00-1.01%
Fair $1269.00+0.0%

8624.T

Ichiyoshi Securities Co., Ltd.

Financial Services / Asset ManagementTokyo

$1269.00

-13.00 (-1.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1269.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 4/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 25.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 44/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 8624.TLocal privado en este navegador · Ichiyoshi Securities Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$40.7B

P/E

9.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.9x

↓

ROE

5.7%

↓

Gross Margin

99.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1269
$725$1572

TradingView lightweight chart

8624.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,269Periodo +233.9%
Fair value: $1,269

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.80B · net income $1.56B · FCF $-95.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

99.8%-0.0% pts

Operating margin

12.2%-4.8% pts

Net margin

8.3%-4.6% pts

FCF margin

-0.5%-8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.80B$18.80B$18.84B$16.66B$19.59B
Net Income$1.56B$1.56B$1.93B$758.0M$2.53B
EBITDA$2.75B$2.75B$3.32B$1.65B$3.87B
EPS46.8946.8956.9521.8869.72
Gross Margin99.8%99.8%99.8%99.8%99.8%
Operating Margin12.2%12.2%14.9%7.0%17.0%
Net Margin8.3%8.3%10.2%4.5%12.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.020.02
Current Ratio2.042.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-95.0M$-95.0M$3.09B$1.32B$1.65B
Returns
ROE5.7%5.7%6.7%2.7%8.4%
Valuation
P/E9.289.2813.9827.248.72
EV/EBITDA9.929.922.713.711.53
P/B1.541.540.930.740.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.2%-0.2%13.0%-14.9%—
EPS Growth-17.7%-17.7%160.3%-68.6%—
Dividend Yield7.6%7.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

33.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$112.60

Spread vs growth

-51.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$136.25

Spread vs growth

-41.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$219.43

Spread vs growth

-34.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +65.1%

Total return

+65.1%

Start / end P/E

14.2x → 27.1x

EPS bridge

56.95 → 46.89

Residual

-16.1%

EPS growth-17.7%
Multiple rerating+91.2%
Dividend+7.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.