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8699.T$1138.00+1.97%
Fair $1138.00+0.0%

8699.T

HS Holdings Co., Ltd.

Financial Services / Capital MarketsTokyo

$1138.00

+22.00 (+1.97%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1138.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 8699.TLocal privado en este navegador · HS Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$34.2B

P/E

2.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

14.0%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$1138
$930$1339

TradingView lightweight chart

8699.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,138Periodo -23.2%
Fair value: $1,138

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

7.2%

FCF / Net income

0.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $36.99B · net income $12.10B · FCF $2.65B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

32.7%+16.6% pts

FCF margin

7.2%+25.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$36.99B$36.99B$42.20B$55.39B$40.66B
Net Income$12.10B$12.10B$9.46B$11.37B$6.54B
EPS402.07402.07310.67363.94169.53
Net Margin32.7%32.7%22.4%20.5%16.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.021.301.21
Current Ratio3.413.41———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.65B$2.65B$-26.63B$15.12B$-7.47B
Returns
ROE14.0%14.0%13.2%19.1%12.5%
Valuation
P/E2.332.333.092.897.66
P/B0.400.400.410.550.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.3%-12.3%-23.8%36.2%—
EPS Growth29.4%29.4%-14.6%114.7%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-36.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$100.98

Spread vs growth

66.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-21.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$122.18

Spread vs growth

50.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$196.78

Spread vs growth

36.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.3%

Total return

+22.3%

Start / end P/E

3.0x → 2.8x

EPS bridge

310.67 → 402.07

Residual

-2.0%

EPS growth+29.4%
Multiple rerating-6.9%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.