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9199.KL$2.38-0.83%
Fair $2.38+0.0%

9199.KL

Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad

Basic Materials / SteelKuala Lumpur

$2.38

-0.02 (-0.83%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.38Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $14.7M · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 40/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 4.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9199.KLLocal privado en este navegador · Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$99M

P/E

10.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.4x

↓

ROE

4.4%

↑

Gross Margin

25.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

9199.KL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.380Periodo +143.8%
Fair value: $2.380

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.1%

FCF / Net income

-1.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $80.2M · net income $7.3M · FCF $-8.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.2%-1.8% pts

Operating margin

7.0%-2.5% pts

Net margin

9.1%-0.9% pts

FCF margin

-10.1%-28.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$80.2M$80.2M$94.5M$84.3M$70.4M
Net Income$7.3M$7.3M$12.7M$11.2M$7.1M
EBITDA$11.4M$11.4M$18.2M$16.1M$11.5M
EPS——0.310.270.17
Gross Margin25.2%25.2%27.6%26.7%27.0%
Operating Margin7.0%7.0%11.6%12.8%9.5%
Net Margin9.1%9.1%13.4%13.3%10.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.000.000.00
Current Ratio20.9120.91———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-8.1M$-8.1M$14.7M$21.0M$13.1M
Returns
ROE4.4%4.4%7.5%6.3%4.2%
Valuation
P/E10.8210.829.018.4711.14
EV/EBITDA2.402.401.850.981.25
P/B0.590.590.670.530.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.1%-15.1%12.0%19.8%—
EPS Growth——12.8%58.7%—
Dividend Yield5.9%5.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.3%

Total return

-4.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.31 → n/d

Residual

-10.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.