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9510.SR$38.00+1.60%
Fair $38.00+0.0%

9510.SR

National Building and Marketing Co.

Basic Materials / SteelSaudi

$38.00

+0.60 (+1.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $38.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-8.9M · quality 31.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 3.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9510.SRLocal privado en este navegador · National Building and Marketing Co.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$456M

P/E

42.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

3.0%

↑

Gross Margin

10.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.91

↑
52-Week Range$38
$36$180

TradingView lightweight chart

9510.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $38.00Periodo -87.2%
Fair value: $38.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $856.9M · net income $10.6M · FCF $-8.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.3%-0.4% pts

Operating margin

7.7%+0.3% pts

Net margin

1.2%-4.7% pts

FCF margin

-1.0%-9.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$856.9M$856.9M$818.0M$700.6M$652.2M
Net Income$10.6M$10.6M$45.1M$30.6M$38.7M
EBITDA$150.2M$150.2M$178.5M$142.6M$71.3M
EPS——3.762.553.23
Gross Margin10.3%10.3%14.7%12.0%10.8%
Operating Margin7.7%7.7%11.7%8.6%7.4%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%5.5%4.4%5.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.911.911.931.850.99
Current Ratio0.890.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-8.9M$-8.9M$-25.1M$79.2M$57.5M
Returns
ROE3.0%3.0%13.2%10.3%14.7%
Valuation
P/E42.7042.7050.00109.8075.85
EV/EBITDA7.427.4216.1027.3544.76
P/B1.301.306.5811.3611.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.8%4.8%16.8%7.4%—
EPS Growth——47.5%-21.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -77.5%

Total return

-77.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

3.76 → n/d

Residual

-77.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-77.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.