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9513.SR$1.92-0.52%
Fair $1.92+0.0%

9513.SR

Watani Iron Steel Company

Basic Materials / SteelSaudi

$1.92

-0.01 (-0.52%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.92Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 19/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.6M · quality 44.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

19/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -6.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9513.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Watani Iron Steel Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$349M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

50.5x

↑

ROE

-6.3%

↓

Gross Margin

1.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.30

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$2

TradingView lightweight chart

9513.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.920Periodo -57.0%
Fair value: $1.920

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.4%

FCF CAGR

-54.2%

FCF margin

1.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $428.7M · net income $-14.9M · FCF $5.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

1.9%-10.1% pts

Operating margin

-1.8%-11.3% pts

Net margin

-3.5%-11.8% pts

FCF margin

1.3%-8.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$428.7M$428.7M$553.3M$370.1M$595.6M
Net Income$-14.9M$-14.9M$9.9M$4.2M$49.6M
EBITDA$7.9M$7.9M$37.7M$31.3M$77.9M
EPS-0.08-0.080.050.020.27
Gross Margin1.9%1.9%6.1%6.6%12.0%
Operating Margin-1.8%-1.8%3.1%2.9%9.5%
Net Margin-3.5%-3.5%1.8%1.1%8.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.260.380.32
Current Ratio0.830.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.6M$5.6M$35.9M$-9.9M$58.8M
Returns
ROE-6.3%-6.3%3.9%1.8%20.9%
Valuation
P/E——53.00129.0011.36
EV/EBITDA50.5150.5114.1717.597.99
P/B1.481.481.921.932.34
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-22.5%-22.5%49.5%-37.9%—
EPS Growth-260.0%-260.0%150.0%-92.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.3%

Total return

-6.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.05 → -0.08

Residual

-6.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.