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9534.T$725.00-2.92%
Fair $725.00+0.0%

9534.T

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated GasTokyo

$725.00

-22.00 (-2.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $725.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $13.1B · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 9534.TLocal privado en este navegador · Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$64.0B

P/E

5.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.5x

↓

ROE

12.0%

↑

Gross Margin

29.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.59

↓
52-Week Range$725
$539$930

TradingView lightweight chart

9534.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $732.00Periodo +267.8%
Fair value: $725.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.3%

FCF CAGR

+16.7%

FCF margin

7.7%

FCF / Net income

1.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $170.29B · net income $10.40B · FCF $13.06B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.6%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

8.4%+2.9% pts

Net margin

6.1%+2.0% pts

FCF margin

7.7%+1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$170.29B$170.29B$173.88B$174.84B$126.96B
Net Income$10.40B$10.40B$11.63B$9.96B$5.24B
EBITDA$29.81B$29.81B$30.28B$27.77B$21.25B
EPS117.57117.57131.46112.71—
Gross Margin29.6%29.6%28.2%25.7%29.1%
Operating Margin8.4%8.4%9.0%7.6%5.6%
Net Margin6.1%6.1%6.7%5.7%4.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.590.590.811.031.02
Current Ratio1.021.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$13.06B$13.06B$15.86B$-14.60B$8.22B
Returns
ROE12.0%12.0%15.1%15.1%9.2%
Valuation
P/E5.575.574.033.34—
EV/EBITDA3.493.493.293.543.52
P/B0.740.740.610.510.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.1%-2.1%-0.5%37.7%—
EPS Growth-10.6%-10.6%16.6%——
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-18.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$64.33

Spread vs growth

7.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$77.84

Spread vs growth

-2.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

0.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$125.36

Spread vs growth

-11.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +36.3%

Total return

+36.3%

Start / end P/E

4.2x → 6.2x

EPS bridge

131.46 → 117.57

Residual

-5.1%

EPS growth-10.6%
Multiple rerating+48.3%
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.