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9536.T$2170.00-1.23%
Fair $2170.00+0.0%

9536.T

Saibu Gas Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated GasTokyo

$2170.00

-27.00 (-1.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2170.00Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 5/9
High DebtDeclining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.4B · quality 20.7/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.25, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 9536.TLocal privado en este navegador · Saibu Gas Holdings Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$78.1B

P/E

11.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.3x

↓

ROE

6.1%

↑

Gross Margin

30.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.25

↑
52-Week Range$2170
$1723$2634

TradingView lightweight chart

9536.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,170Periodo +41.8%
Fair value: $2,170

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.8%

FCF / Net income

2.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $254.44B · net income $6.36B · FCF $14.72B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.3%-1.8% pts

Operating margin

4.1%+3.9% pts

Net margin

2.5%+2.3% pts

FCF margin

5.8%+7.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$254.44B$254.44B$256.33B$266.32B$215.27B
Net Income$6.36B$6.36B$6.16B$13.21B$495.0M
EBITDA$30.49B$30.49B$31.41B$39.52B$22.85B
EPS——166.24356.9213.37
Gross Margin30.3%30.3%30.2%29.4%32.1%
Operating Margin4.1%4.1%3.8%4.1%0.2%
Net Margin2.5%2.5%2.4%5.0%0.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.252.252.442.643.18
Current Ratio0.940.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$14.72B$14.72B$-1.88B$2.45B$-4.66B
Returns
ROE6.1%6.1%6.3%15.2%0.7%
Valuation
P/E11.0611.0611.594.91146.67
EV/EBITDA9.349.349.046.5212.40
P/B0.770.770.730.750.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.7%-0.7%-3.8%23.7%—
EPS Growth——-53.4%2569.6%—
Dividend Yield3.2%3.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.5%

Total return

+25.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

166.24 → n/d

Residual

+22.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+22.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.