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9548.SR$47.80-4.36%
Fair $47.80+0.0%

9548.SR

Arabian Plastic Industrial Company Limited

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsSaudi

$47.80

-2.18 (-4.36%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $47.80Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-22.2M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 9548.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Arabian Plastic Industrial Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$359M

P/E

15.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.0x

↓

ROE

19.0%

↑

Gross Margin

25.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.67

↑
52-Week Range$48
$32$60

TradingView lightweight chart

9548.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $47.80Periodo +117.3%
Fair value: $47.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.9%

FCF CAGR

-26.5%

FCF margin

6.0%

FCF / Net income

0.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $199.8M · net income $23.8M · FCF $12.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.8%+12.0% pts

Operating margin

14.6%+6.8% pts

Net margin

11.9%+5.9% pts

FCF margin

6.0%-13.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$199.8M$199.8M$183.4M$156.6M$154.6M
Net Income$23.8M$23.8M$13.4M$13.0M$9.3M
EBITDA$44.0M$44.0M$29.1M$25.9M$12.3M
EPS——1.781.741.24
Gross Margin25.8%25.8%17.8%17.9%13.8%
Operating Margin14.6%14.6%9.4%10.5%7.8%
Net Margin11.9%11.9%7.3%8.3%6.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.670.670.860.600.44
Current Ratio1.011.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$12.0M$12.0M$-27.6M$-22.2M$30.3M
Returns
ROE19.0%19.0%12.3%13.6%11.3%
Valuation
P/E15.0815.0813.4614.7515.54
EV/EBITDA10.0210.029.159.5714.45
P/B2.872.871.652.011.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.9%8.9%17.1%1.3%—
EPS Growth——2.3%40.3%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +29.8%

Total return

+29.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.78 → n/d

Residual

+25.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+25.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.