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AAR.AX$0.14-3.57%
Fair $0.14+0.0%

AAR.AX

Astral Resources NL

Basic Materials / GoldASX

$0.14

-0.00 (-3.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.14Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-6.6M · quality 72.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -7.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AAR.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Astral Resources NL
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$243M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-7.5%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

AAR.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.135Periodo -51.0%
Fair value: $0.135

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

2.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue — · net income $-2.6M · FCF $-6.6M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

—— pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Net Income$-2.6M$-2.6M$-3.7M$-2.4M$-3.7M
EBITDA$-2.5M$-2.5M$-3.6M$-2.3M$-3.6M
EPS-0.00-0.00-0.01-0.00—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.010.00
Current Ratio18.1818.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-6.6M$-6.6M$-9.1M$-6.6M$-6.8M
Returns
ROE-7.5%-7.5%-14.6%-11.3%-16.3%
Valuation
P/B3.183.181.792.292.17
Growth & Yield
EPS Growth43.9%43.9%-48.6%——

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -30.8%

Total return

-30.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → -0.00

Residual

-30.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-30.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.