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ABRIL.BO$38.47+1.32%
Fair $38.47+0.0%

ABRIL.BO

Abril Paper Tech Limited

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsBSE

$38.47

+0.50 (+1.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $38.47Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-33.4M · quality 61.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 0unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · ABRIL.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Abril Paper Tech Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$307M

P/E

18.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.7x

↑

ROE

13.4%

↑

Gross Margin

5.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$38
$26$57

TradingView lightweight chart

ABRIL.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $38.47Periodo -22.1%
Fair value: $38.47

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2025 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+55.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.5%

FCF / Net income

-2.36x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $609.1M · net income $14.1M · FCF $-33.4M

2023-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.7%-0.7% pts

Operating margin

3.1%-1.1% pts

Net margin

2.3%+0.8% pts

FCF margin

-5.5%+8.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$609.1M$609.1M$251.2M$252.6M
Net Income$14.1M$14.1M$9.6M$3.9M
EBITDA$20.1M$20.1M$17.3M$11.4M
EPS1.771.771.200.49
Gross Margin5.7%5.7%10.7%6.3%
Operating Margin3.1%3.1%6.4%4.2%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%3.8%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.10—0.91
Current Ratio14.1614.16——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-33.4M$-33.4M$-10.8M$-34.2M
Returns
ROE13.4%13.4%13.0%10.8%
Valuation
P/E18.7718.77——
EV/EBITDA14.6814.68——
P/B2.922.92——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth142.4%142.4%-0.5%—
EPS Growth47.2%47.2%147.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.41

Spread vs growth

22.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.13

Spread vs growth

28.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$6.65

Spread vs growth

33.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -22.1%

Total return

-22.1%

Start / end P/E

41.1x → 21.7x

EPS bridge

1.20 → 1.77

Residual

-22.2%

EPS growth+47.2%
Multiple rerating-47.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-22.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.