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v0.1
ADMIE.AT$4.01+1.26%
Fair $4.01+0.0%

ADMIE.AT

Admie Holding S.A.

Utilities / Utilities - Independent Power ProducersAthens

$4.01

+0.05 (+1.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.01Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-401.6M · quality 57.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · ADMIE.ATLocal privado en este navegador · Admie Holding S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$929M

P/E

7.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.1x

↓

ROE

8.4%

↑

Gross Margin

97.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.08

↑
52-Week Range$4
$3$4

TradingView lightweight chart

ADMIE.AT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.010Periodo +74.3%
Fair value: $4.010

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-87.9%

FCF / Net income

-3.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $456.6M · net income $124.9M · FCF $-401.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

97.6%-0.0% pts

Operating margin

39.3%+12.9% pts

Net margin

27.4%+7.6% pts

FCF margin

-87.9%-54.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$456.6M$456.6M$469.2M$391.8M$294.6M
Net Income$124.9M$124.9M$148.4M$122.2M$58.2M
EBITDA$325.8M$325.8M$345.0M$296.8M$210.6M
EPS0.540.540.640.530.25
Gross Margin97.6%97.6%98.0%97.8%97.6%
Operating Margin39.3%39.3%44.4%42.2%26.4%
Net Margin27.4%27.4%31.6%31.2%19.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.081.080.900.910.79
Current Ratio35.2635.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-401.6M$-401.6M$-437.8M$-278.0M$-99.7M
Returns
ROE8.4%8.4%10.5%9.3%4.7%
Valuation
P/E7.437.434.184.207.00
EV/EBITDA7.087.084.844.935.62
P/B0.630.630.440.390.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.7%-2.7%19.7%33.0%—
EPS Growth-15.9%-15.9%21.4%110.0%—
Dividend Yield4.6%4.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-12.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.36

Spread vs growth

-2.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.43

Spread vs growth

-11.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.69

Spread vs growth

-18.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +42.9%

Total return

+42.9%

Start / end P/E

4.5x → 7.4x

EPS bridge

0.64 → 0.54

Residual

-10.2%

EPS growth-15.9%
Multiple rerating+64.3%
Dividend+4.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.