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Financial Analysis

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Recent

v0.1
AFBI$22.50+0.13%
Fair $10.05-55.3%

AFBI

Affinity Bancshares, Inc.

Financial Services / Banks - RegionalNasdaqCM

$22.50

+0.03 (+0.13%)

Significantly Overvalued-55.3%Fair Value $10.05Fund rank 41/100 · PassSEC 7/7 yrs|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 7/9
Significantly Overvalued

Book/ROE base 3Y

$11.13

-20.9% CAGR · P/B 0.5x

Book/ROE base 5Y

$11.99

-11.8% base · -8.1% expected

Precio de entrada

$5.70

MOS 16% · confianza 92%

Book/ROE escenarios

audited · book/share $19.71 · quality 24.0/100

Pass 41/100
Bear 5Y$7.26-20.2%
Base 5Y$11.99-11.8%
Bull 5Y$27.81+4.3%
Return 1/100Downside 19/100Model quality 79/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

0/100

-55.3% upside

5Y CAGR

-8.1%

18/100

Data QA

90/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 7Warnings: 1sec-companyfacts: 7
Generic DCF/FCF bypassed: financial balance-sheet sector valued with a sector-specific Book/ROE model. Estimated downside of 55.3% from current price
Thesis & Journal · AFBILocal privado en este navegador · Affinity Bancshares, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$137M

P/E

17.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

6.6%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.43

↑
52-Week Range$23
$18$23

TradingView lightweight chart

AFBI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $22.50Periodo +53.4%
Buy zone: $5.700Bear 5Y: $7.260Fair value: $10.05Base 5Y: $11.99Bull 5Y: $27.81

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.1%

FCF CAGR

+44.0%

FCF margin

33.9%

FCF / Net income

1.35x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $33.1M · net income $8.3M · FCF $11.2M

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

25.2%+22.8% pts

FCF margin

33.9%+25.5% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$33.1M$33.1M$31.2M$29.7M$32.2M$32.5M$30.6M$15.0M
Net Income$8.3M$8.3M$5.4M$6.4M$7.1M$7.6M$3.1M$355000.00
EPS1.291.290.830.981.061.090.41—
Net Margin25.2%25.2%17.4%21.7%22.2%23.3%10.1%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.430.430.460.330.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$11.2M$11.2M$6.4M$7.3M$6.2M$11.0M$920000.00$1.3M
Returns
ROE6.6%6.6%4.2%5.3%6.1%6.3%3.8%0.5%
Valuation
P/E17.4117.4127.0622.9221.1920.6154.78—
P/B1.141.141.141.211.301.29——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.0%6.0%5.1%-7.8%-0.9%5.9%104.3%—
EPS Growth55.4%55.4%-15.3%-7.5%-2.8%165.9%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.00

Spread vs growth

39.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.42

Spread vs growth

42.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.89

Spread vs growth

43.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +24.3%

Total return

+24.3%

Start / end P/E

21.8x → 17.4x

EPS bridge

0.83 → 1.29

Residual

-11.1%

EPS growth+55.4%
Multiple rerating-20.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.