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ALAFY.PA$2.63-0.19%
Fair $2.63+0.0%

ALAFY.PA

AFYREN SAS

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsParis

$2.63

-0.00 (-0.19%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.63Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.6M · quality 74.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -18.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALAFY.PALocal privado en este navegador · AFYREN SAS
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$102M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-18.5%

↓

Gross Margin

-6.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$3
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

ALAFY.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.640Periodo -65.7%
Fair value: $2.625

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-204.2%

FCF / Net income

0.60x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.9M · net income $-9.8M · FCF $-5.8M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

-6.1%-54.6% pts

Operating margin

-212.6%-136.8% pts

Net margin

-340.8%-221.9% pts

FCF margin

-204.2%-103.4% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$2.9M$2.9M$3.4M$3.5M$3.0M
Net Income$-9.8M$-9.8M$-9.6M$-9.2M$-3.6M
EBITDA$-8.8M$-8.8M$-8.6M$-8.4M$-2.8M
EPS-0.37-0.37-0.37-0.36-0.18
Gross Margin-6.1%-6.1%9.6%30.7%48.5%
Operating Margin-212.6%-212.6%-175.8%-157.3%-75.9%
Net Margin-340.8%-340.8%-283.7%-266.2%-118.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.080.120.11
Current Ratio23.7323.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.8M$-5.8M$-5.6M$-3.8M$-3.1M
Returns
ROE-18.5%-18.5%-15.5%-13.0%-4.6%
Valuation
P/B1.301.300.872.122.16
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.3%-15.3%-2.2%13.8%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%-2.8%-100.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.0%

Total return

-4.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.37 → -0.37

Residual

-4.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.