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ALKIM.IS$17.84+0.96%
Fair $17.84+0.0%

ALKIM.IS

Alkim Alkali Kimya A.S.

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsIstanbul

$17.84

+0.17 (+0.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.84Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 2/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-339.5M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -9.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALKIM.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Alkim Alkali Kimya A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

37.2x

↑

ROE

-9.6%

↓

Gross Margin

12.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$18
$13$25

TradingView lightweight chart

ALKIM.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.84Periodo +16053.9%
Fair value: $17.84

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.7%

FCF / Net income

0.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.10B · net income $-408.3M · FCF $-339.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.1%-13.4% pts

Operating margin

2.5%-17.4% pts

Net margin

-8.0%-11.7% pts

FCF margin

-6.7%-8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.10B$5.10B$6.14B$5.81B$5.37B
Net Income$-408.3M$-408.3M$-178.6M$391.4M$198.8M
EBITDA$143.3M$143.3M$212.5M$532.5M$873.3M
EPS——-0.602.610.67
Gross Margin12.1%12.1%14.2%19.8%25.5%
Operating Margin2.5%2.5%5.1%13.0%19.9%
Net Margin-8.0%-8.0%-2.9%6.7%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.040.040.04
Current Ratio1.551.55———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-339.5M$-339.5M$-591.7M$1.17B$120.4M
Returns
ROE-9.6%-9.6%-3.8%10.6%7.9%
Valuation
P/E———7.0327.25
EV/EBITDA37.1637.1625.923.975.90
P/B1.261.261.280.742.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-16.9%-16.9%5.6%8.3%—
EPS Growth——-123.0%292.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.6%

Total return

+25.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.60 → n/d

Residual

+25.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+25.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.