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ALRGR.PA$11.00+0.00%
Fair $11.00+0.0%

ALRGR.PA

Rougier S.A.

Basic Materials / Lumber & Wood ProductionParisFR

$11.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.00Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 6/F
F-Score: 2/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.1M · quality 19.7/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

6/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.14, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -95.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALRGR.PALocal privado en este navegador · Rougier S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-95.1%

↓

Gross Margin

56.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.14

↑
52-Week Range$11
$10$17

TradingView lightweight chart

ALRGR.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.00Periodo -48.0%
Fair value: $11.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.5%

FCF / Net income

0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $79.5M · net income $-8.0M · FCF $-2.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

56.2%-1.4% pts

Operating margin

-13.8%-19.4% pts

Net margin

-10.1%-15.7% pts

FCF margin

-2.5%-5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$79.5M$79.5M$96.6M$99.4M$103.4M
Net Income$-8.0M$-8.0M$2.7M$3.5M$5.8M
EBITDA$-4.4M$-4.4M$13.0M$13.5M$16.3M
EPS-7.42-7.422.463.205.39
Gross Margin56.2%56.2%63.4%59.3%57.6%
Operating Margin-13.8%-13.8%10.0%6.4%5.7%
Net Margin-10.1%-10.1%2.8%3.5%5.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.142.140.970.991.36
Current Ratio0.900.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.0M$-2.0M$-2.2M$-2.1M$2.9M
Returns
ROE-95.1%-95.1%16.2%24.6%54.8%
Valuation
P/E——6.144.913.27
EV/EBITDA——2.272.001.73
P/B1.411.410.991.211.79
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.6%-17.6%-2.9%-3.8%—
EPS Growth-401.6%-401.6%-23.1%-40.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -36.4%

Total return

-36.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.46 → -7.42

Residual

-36.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-36.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.