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ALTO$4.46+0.00%
Fair $4.46+0.0%

ALTO

Alto Ingredients, Inc.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsNasdaqCM

$4.46

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.46Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-7.5M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 1unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · ALTOLocal privado en este navegador · Alto Ingredients, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$346M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

5.4%

↑

Gross Margin

3.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.26

↑
No hay histórico de precio usable para pintar el gráfico TradingView.

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.9%

FCF / Net income

0.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $917.9M · net income $13.3M · FCF $8.6M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

3.8%+4.1% pts

Operating margin

0.8%+5.0% pts

Net margin

1.5%-21.1% pts

FCF margin

0.9%+12.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$917.9M$917.9M$965.3M$1.22B$1.34B$1.21B$897.0M——$1.63B$1.62B$1.19B$1.11B$908.4M$816.0M$901.2M$328.3M
Net Income$13.3M$13.3M$-59.0M$-28.0M$-41.6M$46.1M$-15.1M$-88.9M$-60.3M$-35.0M$1.4M$-18.8M$21.3M$-781000.00$-19.1M$3.1M$73.9M
EBITDA$32.6M$32.6M$-27.3M$-768000.00$-36.3M$63.4M—$-26.8M$-10.7M$13.1M$59.0M$5.7M$104.6M$31.0M$-19.5M$16.6M$-4.7M
EPS0.160.16-0.82-0.40-0.600.61-0.28-1.90-1.42-0.850.00-0.600.86-0.17-2.810.055.57
Gross Margin3.8%3.8%1.0%1.3%-2.1%5.6%5.9%——0.4%3.3%0.9%9.8%3.6%-2.4%2.2%-0.2%
Operating Margin0.8%0.8%-5.4%-2.0%-4.6%3.3%1.1%——-1.6%1.4%-1.5%8.3%2.1%-3.9%0.4%-4.2%
Net Margin1.5%1.5%-6.1%-2.3%-3.1%3.8%-1.7%——-2.1%0.1%-1.6%1.9%-0.1%-2.3%0.3%22.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.260.260.410.290.220.150.240.800.270.620.480.550.161.102.231.99-11.87
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$8.6M$8.6M$-14.6M$-7.5M$-31.7M$10.4M$65.1M$-34.5M$-13.6M$15.6M$18.1M$-48.5M——$-23.1M$-6.3M$-37.6M
Returns
ROE5.4%5.4%-26.2%-10.0%-13.5%13.3%-5.1%-39.2%-18.9%-9.8%0.4%-5.1%10.0%-0.9%-36.3%6.5%-1032.4%
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.9%-4.9%-21.1%-8.4%10.6%34.7%———0.5%36.4%7.6%21.9%11.3%-9.4%174.5%—
EPS Growth119.5%119.5%-105.0%33.3%-198.4%317.9%85.3%-33.8%-67.1%—100.0%-169.8%605.9%94.0%-5720.0%-99.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

35.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.40

Spread vs growth

84.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.48

Spread vs growth

95.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.77

Spread vs growth

102.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total n/d
Return attribution requires positive start and end prices.

Unavailable: positive start/end prices are required.