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AMTX$2.63+3.14%
Fair $2.63+0.0%

AMTX

Aemetis, Inc.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsNasdaqGM

$2.63

+0.08 (+3.14%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.63Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapSEC 16/16 yrs|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-22.7M · quality 26.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 35/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

90/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 16Warnings: 2sec-companyfacts: 16
Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.15, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -25.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AMTXLocal privado en este navegador · Aemetis, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$185M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-25.1%

↓

Gross Margin

-0.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.15

↑
52-Week Range$3
$1$4

TradingView lightweight chart

AMTX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.630Periodo -93.3%
Fair value: $2.630

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+24.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.9%

FCF / Net income

0.30x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $208.0M · net income $-77.0M · FCF $-22.7M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-0.4%+1.1% pts

Operating margin

-17.9%+45.5% pts

Net margin

-37.0%+68.3% pts

FCF margin

-10.9%+42.6% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$208.0M$208.0M$267.6M$77.2M$28.1M$211.9M$165.6M$202.0M$171.5M$150.2M$143.2M$146.6M$207.7M$177.5M$189.0M$141.9M$8.1M
Net Income$-77.0M$-77.0M$-87.5M$-46.4M$-107.8M$-47.1M$-36.7M$-39.5M$-36.3M$-31.8M$-15.6M$-27.1M$7.1M$-24.4M$-4.3M$-18.3M$-8.6M
EBITDA$-31.7M$-31.7M$-37.1M$-34.8M$-69.8M$-10.4M$-1.2M$-531000.00—————$7.1M$-18.1M$-3.4M$-4.4M
EPS-1.28-1.28-1.91-1.22-3.12-1.54-1.74-1.75-1.63-1.53-0.79-1.370.34-1.28-0.28——
Gross Margin-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%2.6%-19.7%3.7%6.7%6.3%3.2%2.2%8.1%2.9%17.9%10.3%-4.7%3.3%-1.5%
Operating Margin-17.9%-17.9%-15.1%-48.5%-122.4%-7.5%-3.7%-2.4%-6.4%-8.1%-0.5%-5.9%11.6%1.4%-11.2%-3.2%-63.4%
Net Margin-37.0%-37.0%-32.7%-60.1%-383.3%-22.2%-22.1%-19.5%-21.2%-21.2%-10.9%-18.5%3.4%-13.8%-2.3%-12.9%-105.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.152.151.521.421.281.641.491.350.170.230.270.5028.047.9924.691.440.30
Current Ratio0.090.09———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-22.7M$-22.7M$-53.2M$-19.3M$-62.0M$-47.3M$-16.9M$-10.6M$-9.6M$-9.8M$-258000.00$-857000.00$18.6M$-3.0M$-18.3M$-3.8M$-4.4M
Returns
ROE-25.1%-25.1%-33.2%-21.4%-53.4%-39.2%-19.8%-25.6%-31.4%-40.5%-31.4%-76.9%240.0%-191.4%-121.9%-82.4%-90.6%
Valuation
P/E————————————7.62————
P/B——————————————0.01——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-22.3%-22.3%246.7%174.6%-86.7%28.0%-18.0%17.8%14.2%4.9%-2.4%-29.4%17.0%-6.1%33.3%1644.4%—
EPS Growth33.0%33.0%-56.6%60.9%-102.6%11.5%0.6%-7.4%-6.5%-93.7%42.3%-502.9%126.6%-357.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +53.8%

Total return

+53.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.91 → -1.28

Residual

+53.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+53.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.