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APD$279.26-0.02%
Fair $279.26+0.0%

APD

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsNYSE

$279.26

-0.07 (-0.02%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $279.26Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-3.1B · quality 35.0/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 19Warnings: 2unknown: 19
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -2.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · APDLocal privado en este navegador · Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$62.2B

P/E

29.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

58.8x

↑

ROE

-2.6%

↓

Gross Margin

31.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.23

↑
52-Week Range$279
$229$308

TradingView lightweight chart

APD price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $278.55Periodo +817.7%
Fair value: $279.26

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-31.3%

FCF / Net income

9.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.04B · net income $-394.5M · FCF $-3.77B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.4%— pts

Operating margin

24.0%+9.0% pts

Net margin

-3.3%-14.6% pts

FCF margin

-31.3%-36.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Income Statement
Revenue$12.04B$12.04B$12.10B$12.60B$12.70B$10.32B$8.86B$8.92B—$8.19B$7.50B$7.82B$10.44B$10.18B$9.61B$9.67B$8.62B$8.26B$10.41B$9.15B
Net Income$-394.5M$-394.5M$3.83B$2.30B$2.26B$2.10B$1.89B$1.76B—$3.00B$631.1M$1.28B$991.7M$994.2M$1.17B$1.22B$1.03B$631.3M$909.7M$1.04B
EBITDA$1.34B$1.34B$6.49B$4.42B$4.22B$3.60B$3.42B$3.23B—$2.31B$2.39B$2.09B$2.30B$2.23B$2.12B$2.34B$2.09B$1.69B$2.36B$2.17B
EPS-1.77-1.7717.1810.3310.149.438.497.94—13.652.895.884.614.335.035.214.382.743.844.29
Gross Margin31.4%31.4%32.5%29.9%26.5%—33.9%32.7%—29.8%31.0%37.8%26.9%26.6%26.6%26.6%29.3%26.8%——
Operating Margin24.0%24.0%24.4%21.7%19.0%22.1%25.3%24.0%—17.6%20.5%15.8%12.8%13.0%13.3%15.6%14.7%10.3%14.4%15.0%
Net Margin-3.3%-3.3%31.6%18.3%17.8%20.3%21.3%19.7%—36.6%8.4%16.3%9.5%9.8%12.1%12.7%11.9%7.6%8.7%11.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.231.230.880.770.63—————0.690.540.650.720.710.680.660.780.70—
Current Ratio1.431.43——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.77B$-3.77B$-3.15B$-1.42B$303.7M——————————$443.9M$533.7M$150.3M$573.7M$486.7M
Returns
ROE-2.6%-2.6%22.5%16.1%17.2%15.5%15.6%15.9%—29.7%8.9%17.6%13.5%14.1%18.0%21.1%18.6%13.2%18.1%18.8%
Valuation
P/E29.3229.3216.6227.2122.86———————————————
EV/EBITDA58.7558.7511.6516.3013.55———————————————
P/B4.134.133.734.373.92———————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.5%-0.5%-4.0%-0.8%—16.6%-0.7%——9.1%-4.1%-25.0%2.5%5.9%-0.6%12.3%4.4%-20.7%13.8%—
EPS Growth-110.3%-110.3%66.3%1.9%—11.1%6.9%——372.3%-50.9%27.5%6.5%-14.0%-3.4%18.8%60.1%-28.7%-10.6%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.5%

Total return

+2.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

17.18 → -1.77

Residual

-0.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.