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ARVEN.PA$9.94-0.20%
Fair $9.94+0.0%

ARVEN.PA

Arverne Group S.A.

Utilities / Utilities - RenewableParis

$9.94

-0.02 (-0.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.94Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-36.9M · quality 73.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -14.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ARVEN.PALocal privado en este navegador · Arverne Group S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$418M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-14.7%

↓

Gross Margin

131.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.26

↓
52-Week Range$10
$5$13

TradingView lightweight chart

ARVEN.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.940Periodo -0.1%
Fair value: $9.940

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-283.9%

FCF / Net income

2.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.3M · net income $-20.7M · FCF $-51.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

131.1%+32.9% pts

Operating margin

-137.3%-113.6% pts

Net margin

-113.3%-95.8% pts

FCF margin

-283.9%-226.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.3M$18.3M$15.2M$10.4M$10.7M
Net Income$-20.7M$-20.7M$-10.0M$-52.0M$-1.9M
EBITDA$-19.5M$-19.5M$-7.8M$-51.7M$237000.00
EPS-0.51-0.51-0.25-2.34-0.11
Gross Margin131.1%131.1%121.1%117.2%98.3%
Operating Margin-137.3%-137.3%-137.1%-724.8%-23.7%
Net Margin-113.3%-113.3%-65.9%-499.3%-17.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.260.260.250.07-0.92
Current Ratio2.752.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-51.9M$-51.9M$-26.9M$-36.9M$-6.2M
Returns
ROE-14.7%-14.7%-6.4%-31.7%33.2%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA————627.43
P/B2.852.851.031.29—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.6%20.6%45.4%-2.9%—
EPS Growth-104.0%-104.0%89.3%-2027.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +98.8%

Total return

+98.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.25 → -0.51

Residual

+98.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+98.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.