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ATC.WA$5.89+0.00%
Fair $5.89+0.0%

ATC.WA

Arctic Paper S.A.

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsWarsaw

$5.89

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.89Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-182.4M · quality 51.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: yahooPeriods: 5Warnings: 3yahoo: 5
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -7.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ATC.WALocal privado en este navegador · Arctic Paper S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$408M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-7.0%

↓

Gross Margin

7.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$6
$6$13

TradingView lightweight chart

ATC.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.860Periodo -68.2%
Fair value: $5.890

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2025 · 4 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.7%

FCF / Net income

1.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.20B · net income $-99.7M · FCF $-182.4M

2021-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.2%-13.5% pts

Operating margin

-5.3%-12.2% pts

Net margin

-3.1%-6.8% pts

FCF margin

-5.7%-8.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$3.20B$3.20B$3.43B$3.55B$4.89B$3.41B
Net Income$-99.7M$-99.7M$154.5M$247.1M$631.0M$127.2M
EBITDA$-1.7M$-1.7M$314.9M$466.2M$1.07B$356.8M
EPS-1.44-1.442.233.579.111.84
Gross Margin7.2%7.2%17.0%21.0%28.8%20.7%
Operating Margin-5.3%-5.3%4.5%9.8%16.9%6.9%
Net Margin-3.1%-3.1%4.5%7.0%12.9%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.180.110.130.31
Current Ratio1.491.49————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-182.4M$-182.4M$-235.2M$271.0M$452.5M$78.3M
Returns
ROE-7.0%-7.0%10.6%17.1%39.7%13.9%
Valuation
P/E——7.306.082.184.76
EV/EBITDA——3.492.481.032.02
P/B0.290.290.781.040.860.67
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.9%-6.9%-3.2%-27.5%——
EPS Growth-164.6%-164.6%-37.5%-60.8%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -49.0%

Total return

-49.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.23 → -1.44

Residual

-49.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-49.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.