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AVD$2.60+0.78%
Fair $2.60+0.0%

AVD

American Vanguard Corporation

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsNYSE

$2.60

+0.02 (+0.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.60Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-25.3M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 2unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -25.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AVDLocal privado en este navegador · American Vanguard Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$74M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-25.9%

↓

Gross Margin

28.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.99

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$6

TradingView lightweight chart

AVD price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.600Periodo +337.7%
Fair value: $2.600

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.9%

FCF / Net income

0.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $515.1M · net income $-49.9M · FCF $-25.3M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.6%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

2.7%+5.7% pts

Net margin

-9.7%-6.9% pts

FCF margin

-4.9%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$515.1M$515.1M$547.3M$579.4M$609.6M$557.7M$458.7M$468.2M$454.3M$355.0M$312.1M$289.4M$298.6M$381.0M$366.2M$301.1M$226.9M$205.8M
Net Income$-49.9M$-49.9M$-126.3M$7.5M$27.4M$18.6M$15.2M$13.6M$24.2M$20.3M$12.8M$6.6M$4.8M$34.4M$36.9M$22.1M$11.0M$-5.8M
EBITDA$-11.8M$-11.8M$-81.6M$44.7M$62.1M$40.2M$42.8M$44.9M$57.9M$43.8M$36.9M$28.0M$23.0M$70.6M$72.8M$52.8M$30.3M$4.5M
EPS——-4.500.260.920.610.510.460.810.680.440.230.171.191.280.790.40-0.21
Gross Margin28.6%28.6%22.0%30.9%31.6%30.6%37.6%37.9%40.2%41.5%41.1%38.7%38.3%45.0%44.0%40.9%38.1%27.6%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%-5.6%4.2%6.7%5.5%5.0%5.6%8.6%7.5%6.6%4.0%2.2%14.6%16.2%13.0%8.5%-3.1%
Net Margin-9.7%-9.7%-23.1%1.3%4.5%3.3%3.3%2.9%5.3%5.7%4.1%2.3%1.6%9.0%10.1%7.3%4.8%-2.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.990.990.720.440.21———0.290.250.150.250.380.200.160.28——
Current Ratio2.322.32————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-25.3M$-25.3M$-3.8M$-70.8M$42.6M—————————————
Returns
ROE-25.9%-25.9%-54.2%2.0%7.4%———7.3%6.6%4.5%2.5%1.9%13.4%16.4%11.8%6.6%-3.8%
Valuation
P/E———40.5023.73—————————————
EV/EBITDA———10.0911.41—————————————
P/B0.390.390.560.811.76—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.9%-5.9%-5.5%-5.0%—21.6%-2.0%3.1%27.9%13.8%7.9%-3.1%-21.6%4.1%21.6%32.7%10.2%—
EPS Growth——-1830.8%-71.7%—19.6%10.9%-43.2%19.1%54.5%91.3%35.3%-85.7%-7.0%62.0%97.5%290.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -47.2%

Total return

-47.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-4.50 → n/d

Residual

-47.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-47.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.