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AVIA.JK$336.00-3.45%
Fair $336.00+0.0%

AVIA.JK

PT Avia Avian Tbk

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsJakarta

$336.00

-12.00 (-3.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $336.00Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.3T · quality 82.7/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 88/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · AVIA.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Avia Avian Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19.87T

P/E

11.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.7x

↓

ROE

18.3%

↑

Gross Margin

44.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$336
$326$530

TradingView lightweight chart

AVIA.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $336.00Periodo -61.2%
Fair value: $336.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.7%

FCF CAGR

+0.7%

FCF margin

15.2%

FCF / Net income

0.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.12T · net income $1.75T · FCF $1.24T

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.0%+3.5% pts

Operating margin

23.7%+1.5% pts

Net margin

21.5%+0.6% pts

FCF margin

15.2%-2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8123.69B$8123.69B$7471.36B$7016.88B$6694.17B
Net Income$1747.46B$1747.46B$1664.34B$1642.17B$1400.56B
EBITDA$2411.49B$2411.49B$2286.57B$2182.13B$1927.73B
EPS29.1129.1127.1626.5122.61
Gross Margin44.0%44.0%44.7%45.4%40.6%
Operating Margin23.7%23.7%23.7%24.5%22.1%
Net Margin21.5%21.5%22.3%23.4%20.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.000.01
Current Ratio5.155.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1235.62B$1235.62B$1277.45B$1316.40B$1210.62B
Returns
ROE18.3%18.3%17.3%16.6%14.6%
Valuation
P/E11.1111.1115.3218.7127.64
EV/EBITDA7.717.7110.1713.5319.00
P/B2.112.112.653.104.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.7%8.7%6.5%4.8%—
EPS Growth7.2%7.2%2.5%17.2%—
Dividend Yield6.6%6.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$29.81

Spread vs growth

6.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$36.08

Spread vs growth

2.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$58.10

Spread vs growth

0.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.7%

Total return

-19.7%

Start / end P/E

16.8x → 11.5x

EPS bridge

27.16 → 29.11

Residual

-2.2%

EPS growth+7.2%
Multiple rerating-31.3%
Dividend+6.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.