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AVL.TO$0.07-7.14%
Fair $0.07+0.0%

AVL.TO

Avalon Advanced Materials Inc.

Basic Materials / Other Industrial Metals & MiningToronto

$0.07

-0.01 (-7.14%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.07Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 0/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.6M · quality 76.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -4.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AVL.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Avalon Advanced Materials Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$54M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-4.2%

↓

Gross Margin

-432.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

AVL.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.065Periodo -90.2%
Fair value: $0.065

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+31.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8027.9%

FCF / Net income

0.77x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $49940.0 · net income $-5.2M · FCF $-4.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-432.7%+243.9% pts

Operating margin

-7007.0%+6750.0% pts

Net margin

-10405.9%+7722.5% pts

FCF margin

-8027.9%+7206.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$49940.00$49940.00$109832.00$124258.00$21766.00
Net Income$-5.2M$-5.2M$-634576.00$-3.3M$-3.9M
EBITDA$-4.1M$-4.1M$-145861.00$-4.0M$-4.0M
EPS-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.01
Gross Margin-432.7%-432.7%-135.7%-86.4%-676.6%
Operating Margin-7007.0%-7007.0%-5391.5%-3122.7%-13757.0%
Net Margin-10405.9%-10405.9%-577.8%-2669.5%-18128.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.060.030.04
Current Ratio2.102.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-4.0M$-4.0M$-4.6M$-14.2M$-3.3M
Returns
ROE-4.2%-4.2%-0.5%-2.6%-3.5%
Valuation
P/B0.320.320.260.470.54
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-54.5%-54.5%-11.6%470.9%—
EPS Growth-800.0%-800.0%85.7%30.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +116.7%

Total return

+116.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.00 → -0.01

Residual

+116.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+116.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.