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AXELPOLY.BO$47.13+7.06%
Fair $47.13+0.0%

AXELPOLY.BO

Axel Polymers Limited

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsBSE

$47.13

+3.11 (+7.06%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $47.13Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 2/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $18.4M · quality 31.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.25, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is 1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AXELPOLY.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Axel Polymers Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$518M

P/E

22.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

20.1x

↑

ROE

1.1%

↑

Gross Margin

13.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.25

↑
52-Week Range$47
$33$60

TradingView lightweight chart

AXELPOLY.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $47.13Periodo -51.1%
Fair value: $47.13

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.0%

FCF / Net income

-26.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $780.9M · net income $1.7M · FCF $-46.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.4%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

4.4%-1.1% pts

Net margin

0.2%-1.0% pts

FCF margin

-6.0%-9.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$780.9M$780.9M$1.28B$826.5M$729.1M
Net Income$1.7M$1.7M$15.6M$11.8M$9.2M
EBITDA$35.9M$35.9M$54.0M$50.6M$45.1M
EPS0.200.201.831.391.08
Gross Margin13.4%13.4%9.3%13.2%13.5%
Operating Margin4.4%4.4%4.0%5.5%5.5%
Net Margin0.2%0.2%1.2%1.4%1.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.252.251.711.862.10
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-46.5M$-46.5M$18.4M$43.0M$28.4M
Returns
ROE1.1%1.1%10.4%8.8%7.4%
Valuation
P/E22.0222.0234.3731.6545.97
EV/EBITDA20.0620.0614.5012.1715.09
P/B2.652.653.572.773.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-39.0%-39.0%54.8%13.4%—
EPS Growth-89.1%-89.1%31.7%28.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

175.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.18

Spread vs growth

-264.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

90.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.06

Spread vs growth

-179.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

44.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.15

Spread vs growth

-134.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +39.3%

Total return

+39.3%

Start / end P/E

18.5x → 235.7x

EPS bridge

1.83 → 0.20

Residual

-1046.0%

EPS growth-89.1%
Multiple rerating+1174.3%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1046.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.