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BGC$10.45+0.00%
Fair $10.45+0.0%

BGC

BGC Group, Inc.

Financial Services / Capital MarketsNasdaqGS

$10.45

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10.45Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 4/9
High Debt

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 57.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.05, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · BGCLocal privado en este navegador · BGC Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.0B

P/E

28.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.7x

↑

ROE

15.9%

↑

Gross Margin

38.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.05

↑
52-Week Range$10
$8$12

TradingView lightweight chart

BGC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.45Periodo -59.1%
Fair value: $10.45

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.9%

FCF CAGR

-0.3%

FCF margin

11.4%

FCF / Net income

2.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.89B · net income $155.0M · FCF $328.3M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.9%— pts

Operating margin

10.4%— pts

Net margin

5.4%+3.6% pts

FCF margin

11.4%-18.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$2.89B$2.89B$2.21B$1.98B$1.77B$1.66B$1.69B$1.76B$1.60B$1.75B$1.55B$2.78B$1.79B$1.74B$1.73B$1.46B$1.33B$1.16B
Net Income$155.0M$155.0M$127.0M$36.3M$48.7M$153.5M$50.9M$43.9M$202.2M$51.5M$185.0M$160.0M$-3.0M$70.9M$23.9M$20.1M$21.2M$20.0M
EBITDA$442.4M$442.4M$345.7M$215.4M$230.4M—————————————
EPS——0.250.070.130.320.120.120.620.110.420.40-0.010.230.100.110.150.15
Gross Margin38.9%38.9%44.4%45.1%47.2%—————————————
Operating Margin10.4%10.4%8.4%7.0%11.4%—————————————
Net Margin5.4%5.4%5.8%1.8%2.7%9.2%3.0%2.5%12.6%2.9%11.9%5.7%-0.2%4.1%1.4%1.4%1.6%1.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.052.051.641.511.811.701.741.690.990.910.821.291.760.881.200.91——
Current Ratio1.491.49————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$328.3M$328.3M$243.3M$345.3M$165.6M$407.1M$271.8M$194.4M—————$143.4M$134.4M$58.2M$29.8M$345.5M
Returns
ROE15.9%15.9%14.1%4.1%7.3%24.8%6.8%6.5%26.3%8.1%15.6%25.2%-0.8%15.3%7.1%6.4%8.9%—
Valuation
P/E28.2428.2438.0095.2930.85—————————————
EV/EBITDA13.7413.7415.3818.3411.85—————————————
P/B5.085.085.073.692.99—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth30.9%30.9%11.4%11.6%—-1.6%-4.0%9.8%-8.4%12.7%-44.2%55.6%2.6%1.1%17.9%10.0%14.5%—
EPS Growth——257.1%-46.2%—166.7%0.0%-80.6%467.1%-73.8%4.8%6300.0%-102.8%125.0%-5.9%-29.2%0.0%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.4%

Total return

+13.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.25 → n/d

Residual

+12.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+12.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.