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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
BGD.AX$0.90+2.27%
Fair $0.90+0.0%

BGD.AX

Barton Gold Holdings Limited

Basic Materials / GoldASX

$0.90

+0.02 (+2.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.90Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.0M · quality 68.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 41/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -1.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · BGD.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Barton Gold Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$216M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-148.6%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

BGD.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.900Periodo +318.6%
Fair value: $0.900

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

0.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue — · net income $-9.4M · FCF $-6.7M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

—— pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Net Income$-9.4M$-9.4M$-5.7M$-4.1M$-7.7M
EBITDA$-8.6M$-8.6M$-5.0M$-3.8M$-6.9M
EPS-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.04
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.01——
Current Ratio6.396.39———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-6.7M$-6.7M$-5.0M$-4.4M$-5.3M
Returns
ROE-148.6%-148.6%-65.2%-40.0%-54.2%
Valuation
P/B28.5128.515.163.082.63
Growth & Yield
EPS Growth-45.2%-45.2%-38.0%43.3%—

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.6%

Total return

+14.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.03 → -0.05

Residual

+14.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+14.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.