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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
BGL$0.67-1.48%
Fair $0.67+0.0%

BGL

Blue Gold Limited

Basic Materials / GoldNasdaqGM

$0.67

-0.01 (-1.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.67Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 16/F
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-8.6M · quality 66.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 53/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

16/100

F

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 1unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · BGLLocal privado en este navegador · Blue Gold Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$27M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

108.7%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

-0.17

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$167

TradingView lightweight chart

BGL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.665Periodo -96.7%
Fair value: $0.665

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2025 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

0.49x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue — · net income $-21.9M · FCF $-10.7M

2023-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

—— pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Net Income$-21.9M$-21.9M$-11.6M—
EBITDA$-14.3M$-14.3M$-9.4M—
EPS-1.56-1.56-1.29—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-0.17-0.17-0.30-1.25
Current Ratio0.190.19——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-10.7M$-10.7M$-6.6M—
Returns
ROE108.7%108.7%140.3%—
Growth & Yield
EPS Growth-20.5%-20.5%——

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -96.7%

Total return

-96.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.29 → -1.56

Residual

-96.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-96.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.