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Financial Analysis

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Recent

v0.1
BOTX.ST$12.40-0.80%
Fair $12.40+0.0%

BOTX.ST

Botnia Gold AB (publ)

Basic Materials / GoldStockholm

$12.40

-0.10 (-0.80%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.40Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-20.3M · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · BOTX.STLocal privado en este navegador · Botnia Gold AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$506M

P/E

6.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.7x

↓

ROE

23.2%

↑

Gross Margin

55.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$12
$10$17

TradingView lightweight chart

BOTX.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.40Periodo +645.2%
Fair value: $12.40

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1102.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

21.3%

FCF / Net income

1.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $245.1M · net income $48.9M · FCF $52.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.9%-1498.0% pts

Operating margin

25.8%+5279.0% pts

Net margin

20.0%+5402.2% pts

FCF margin

21.3%+5754.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$245.1M$245.1M$57.8M—$141000.00
Net Income$48.9M$48.9M$22.3M$-7.3M$-7.6M
EBITDA$96.1M$96.1M$2.9M$-7.1M$-7.4M
EPS——0.55-0.18-0.26
Gross Margin55.9%55.9%48.9%—1553.9%
Operating Margin25.8%25.8%-11.8%—-5253.2%
Net Margin20.0%20.0%38.6%—-5382.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.090.060.03
Current Ratio1.991.99———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$52.1M$52.1M$-39.7M$-20.3M$-8.1M
Returns
ROE23.2%23.2%13.8%-5.4%-5.4%
Valuation
P/E6.176.1722.45——
EV/EBITDA4.694.69177.40——
P/B2.402.403.152.621.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth323.8%323.8%———
EPS Growth——405.6%30.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.0%

Total return

+6.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.55 → n/d

Residual

+6.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+6.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.