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CALT.MI$8.93-0.78%
Fair $8.93+0.0%

CALT.MI

Caltagirone SpA

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsMilan

$8.93

-0.07 (-0.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.93Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $349.3M · quality 81.0/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 84/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · CALT.MILocal privado en este navegador · Caltagirone SpA
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

7.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.4x

↓

ROE

6.6%

↑

Gross Margin

69.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$9
$7$10

TradingView lightweight chart

CALT.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.930Periodo +56.8%
Fair value: $8.930

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.7%

FCF CAGR

+4.9%

FCF margin

11.0%

FCF / Net income

1.73x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.33B · net income $147.8M · FCF $256.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

69.5%+12.2% pts

Operating margin

11.7%+2.1% pts

Net margin

6.4%+0.5% pts

FCF margin

11.0%-0.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.33B$2.33B$2.09B$1.93B$1.92B
Net Income$147.8M$147.8M$130.1M$131.1M$111.3M
EBITDA$522.0M$522.0M$495.5M$492.4M$415.1M
EPS1.231.231.081.090.93
Gross Margin69.5%69.5%64.3%61.3%57.4%
Operating Margin11.7%11.7%12.4%12.6%9.6%
Net Margin6.4%6.4%6.2%6.8%5.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.180.270.36
Current Ratio1.531.53———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$256.0M$256.0M$407.8M$349.3M$221.5M
Returns
ROE6.6%6.6%7.0%8.6%8.2%
Valuation
P/E7.267.266.093.853.43
EV/EBITDA1.351.351.250.721.12
P/B0.480.480.420.330.28
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.2%11.2%8.5%0.6%—
EPS Growth13.6%13.6%-0.7%17.8%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.79

Spread vs growth

27.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.96

Spread vs growth

18.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.54

Spread vs growth

11.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +31.6%

Total return

+31.6%

Start / end P/E

6.4x → 7.3x

EPS bridge

1.08 → 1.23

Residual

+1.8%

EPS growth+13.6%
Multiple rerating+13.0%
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.